Satellite TV boom to continue

25th July, 2012 – The number of pay DTH (DBS) homes for 80 countries covered in a new report will be 220 million by end-2017, up from 154 million at end-2011 and 91 million at end-2007. India will lead the sector with 50.9 million pay DTH homes in 2017, followed by the US with 36.5 million. Russia (14.7 million) and Brazil (14.6 million) will take third and fourth places respectively.

 

The Global Satellite TV Forecasts report states that India will add 22.8 million subs, Brazil 7.6 million and Indonesia 6.7 million from the 66 million extra subscribers between 2011 and 2017.

 

Pay DTH penetration was at 11.1% of TV households at end-2011, and will reach 14.4% by 2017. Penetration in 2017 will be highest in South Africa (60%), Poland (45%) and Ireland (44%). Penetration in Indonesia will climb from 5% in 2011 to 18% by 2017. Conversely, penetration in Malaysia will fall from 47% in 2011 to 38% by 2017 as satellite homes are encouraged to convert to IPTV.

 

DTH revenues will overtake cable TV revenues in 2015. DTH revenues will reach US$91 billion in 2017, up from US$76 billion in 2011. The US will remain DTH market leader, though its share of the total will fall from 46% in 2011 to 42% in 2017. Brazil will add the most DTH revenues (US$3.86 billion) between 2011 and 2017 – nearly doubling its total in the process. The US will grow by US$3.1 billion, meaning that Brazil and the US will contribute nearly half of the extra revenues.

 

Report author Simon Murray said: “However, DTH revenues will decline for 17 countries between 2011 and 2017. Much of this is due to greater competition forcing down ARPUs. Furthermore, low-cost DTH packages are making a significant impact in several countries.”

Top 10 pay DTH countries at end-2017

Households (000)

Penetration (%)

India

50,891

South Africa

60

USA

36,504

Poland

45

Russia

14,681

Ireland

44

Brazil

14,563

New Zealand

40

UK

10,784

UK

39

Mexico

9,707

Malaysia

38

Indonesia

8,654

Mexico

34

Poland

6,563

USA

30

Italy

5,528

Slovakia

29

South Africa

4,689

Norway

28

Source: Digital TV Research Ltd

Top 10 countries by DTH revenues (US$ million)

2011

2017

USA

34,901

USA

38,037

UK

6,271

Brazil

8,062

Brazil

4,201

UK

6,747

France

2,908

Mexico

3,092

Canada

2,619

India

2,761

Italy

2,615

Italy

2,745

Mexico

2,147

Canada

2,621

South Africa

1,733

France

2,538

Japan

1,649

South Africa

1,854

Australia

1,504

Japan

1,781

Source: Digital TV Research Ltd

For more information about this report, please contact: Simon Murray, simon@digitaltvresearch.com, Tel: +44 20 8248 5051

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